Thursday, September 15, 2011

foreclosure homes


INVEST MALAYSIA 2011 by Najib Razak


You've no doubt seen them or read them. Glossy adverts or four-color spreads in publications and magazines promising to show you all of the juicy information about successful real estate investing. And all you need to do to learn each one of these real est investing surface encounters chuck russo secrets is to pay a rather high sum for a one-or two-day seminar.




Often these kinds of slick real estate investing workshops claim you could make smart, profitable real-estate investments with simply no money straight down (with the exception of, of program, the large fee you purchase the class). Now, how appealing is which? Make a make money from real est investments you made with no money. Possible? Not likely.




Successful owning a home requires cash flow. That's the nature of any kind of business or perhaps investment, especially real estate investing. You put your hard earned money into something that you hope and plan will make you more money.




Unfortunately too little newbies for the world of real-estate investing think that it's the magical form of business in which standard company rules will not apply. Simply set, if you would like to stay in property investing for more than, say, a evening or two, then you're going to have to create money to make use of and invest.




While it may be true which buying property with absolutely no money down is straightforward, anyone who's even made a basic investment (just like buying their very own home) understands there's far more involved in real estate investing that can cost you money. For illustration, what regarding any required repairs?




So, the number one rule people not used to real estate investing must remember is always to have accessible cash supplies. Before you decide to actually carry out any property investing, save some money. Having a little money within the bank when you start real estate investing surface encounters chuck russo can help you make more profitable real estate investments in rental properties, for example.




When real estate investing within rental attributes, you'll want in order to select just qualified tenants. If you might have no income when property investing in rental attributes, you may be pressured to take a much less qualified tenant as you need somebody to pay for you money to enable you to take care of fixes or lawyer fees.




For any type of real estate investing, meaning leasing properties or perhaps properties you purchase to resell, having funds reserved can allow you to ask to get a higher price. You can ask for a greater price from the owning a home because you surface encounters chuck russo won't feel financially strapped as you wait for an offer. You won't be backed into a corner and forced to accept just any offer because you desperately need the money.




Another downfall of numerous new to real-estate investing is, well, greed. Make a profit, yes, but don't become so greedy that you simply ask for ridiculous rental or resell rates on all of your real property investments.




Those not used to real property investing need to see real-estate investing being a business, NOT a hobby. Don't think that real property investing will make you rich overnight. What business does?




It requires about six months to figure out if real estate investing in for you. If you have decided in which, hey I enjoy this, then offer yourself many years to actually start making money. It usually takes at least five years to become truly productive in real-estate investing.




Persistence is the key to success in property investing. If you might have decided that real-estate investing is for you, surface encounters chuck russo keep plugging away at it and the rewards will be greater than you imagined.













The manic depressive market wildly swings up and down on each new news story: The Fed is meeting at Jackson Hole on August 27 possibly to discuss QE3 (or not), and that news may pump up the stock market. But China's banks seem to be using Enron's accounting manual, Europe's banks need liquidity and are loaded with bad debt, and U.S. banks only temporarily TARPed over trouble. Gaddafi's regime in Libya appears over, but Libya's oil output may not fully recover for years. Venezuela wants banks to open their vaults and send back its gold, but Wells Fargo says gold is a bubble. Pundits say gold is a barbarous relic, but exchanges and banks are now using gold as money. The U.S. is headed for hyperinflation with skyrocketing stock prices, but on the other hand, we seem to be deflating like Japan and doomed to a deflating stock market for another decade. Whom do you trust and what should you do?



No one knows where the stock market or U.S. Treasury bonds are headed tomorrow, but in my opinion, here are some fundamentals to consider.



The Bad News Isn't Going Away



Until we have real global financial reform and restrain the banks, we won't have sustained growth. The stock market hasn't hit bottom. There's a crisis of confidence in banks and all currencies. We haven't taken effective steps to tackle the U.S. deficit through productivity. We haven't examined spending to eliminate fraud and waste, and we haven't addressed our need for more tax revenues by eliminating the Bush tax cuts (for starters).



Savers are punished by "stranguflation:" negative real returns on "safe" assets, declining housing prices, and rising costs of food, energy and health care. The Fed touts the falling cost of I-Pads, but how often do you buy one of those, and how often do you eat?



Good News (for Now)



The USD is still the world's reserve currency. Even though we devalued the USD, there has been a global flight to U.S. Treasuries pushing down our borrowing costs (yields). No one in the global financial community feels the U.S. has done its best to correct our problems, but severe problems in Europe, China's inflation, and Middle East unrest has money running to the U.S. Since we've devalued the dollar, we appear to be a bargain for foreign investors, even though they are terrified by our money printing presses and the potential for inflating commodity prices in the long run.



How did I play this? My own portfolio is currently more than 20% gold with some silver, and I bought out-of-the-money call options on the VIX when it was in the teens with maturities of 4-6 months. This is "short" stock market strategy, one could have also done well buying puts on the S&P a few months ago. In the first big stock market downdraft in August, I sold the options when the VIX hit the high 30's, and I'll buy more options again if the VIX falls again. Many investors are not comfortable with options, and this strategy isn't appropriate for everyone. The rest of my portfolio is chiefly in cash or deep value opportunities.



What Happens Next?



No one knows for sure, and anyone who tells you he or she does is selling snake oil. The situation is fluid. We tried to reflate our deflating economy. Our massive dollar devaluation may encourage investment, because it's protectionist. It reduces our cost of labor, among a few other "benefits." The problem is that the Fed has printed money, and we haven't done anything to position the U.S. for greater productivity. We're trying to inflate our way out of a problem without investing in productivity. This is a very dangerous way of attacking this problem. Even more "stimulus" would just be an attempt to inflate our way out of our long-standing deep recession. That's the foolish and unsuccessful strategy we've adopted so far. That could lead to runaway budget deficits (our deficit already looks intractable) and bring us to double-digit inflation. Even the European flight to US Treasuries may not save us from a deeper recession in that scenario.



If we don't overreact -- and we may have already overreacted -- our dollar devaluation results in our foreign trade situation first getting worse (as it has now) before it gets better. Now is the time (actually, we should have started years ago) to spend capital to increase U.S. productivity. The dollar's plunge relative to other currencies will eventually make us more competitive. This will be good for blue chip companies, in particular those that own real assets and manufacture items. The Fed and Washington may do anything, however, so one must watch the news.



What does this mean for the U.S. stock market? In my opinion, it is currently not good value and feels like the 1970s when we experienced a recession followed by inflation. One should consider staying mostly in cash and expect stocks become cheaper. One might miss an interim rally, especially if the Fed announces QE3 (more "stimulus" and money printing) or more bank bailouts, but that is like using Kleenex laced with sneezing powder. We will see stock prices even lower than they are today. The old paradigm dictated that stocks were a buy when P/E ratios were 13 or less (and many are well above that), dividends at 4%, and book values at 1.3 or less. (This excludes oil companies, which tend to trade at lower P/E ratios in general.) I believe we'll see much better deals in coming months. In 1978/79 P/E ratios sank below 7 for blue chip companies.



Should one buy U.S. Treasuries with long maturities? The long end of the bond market doesn't reward investors due to the potential of rising interest rates. If interest rates spike to double digits, then one can reassess the situation.



Long term investors should consider buying commodities or companies that own physical commodities. We're running out of key commodities especially related to agriculture and fertilizer. Washington's brand of the latter isn't the type we need.






funny.. i learn from this thread that there are "good" capitalists and "bad" capitalists.. only if it were for good capitalists everything would be fine... there are no good/bad capitalists. concentration of wealth and diminishing marginal profitability lead to rent-seeking, monopoly seeking, corruption and imperialism for all eyes willing to see. it was always like this. it always will be. good thing the us citizen is at least seeing the present corruption. maybe with some critical thinking he will also connect the dots and see the omnipresent corruption indogenous to capitalism. the tale of perfectly competitive free markets is a tale. there never has existed one there never willl.. maybe fruit/vegetable markets, which now are facing extinction brought to you by the wonderful capitalist monopoly-seeking inventions of monsanto...


the us entered the first world war by organising false flag attacks on its vessels so that capitalists could sell nerve gas to both sides. the us entered the second world war by allowing japs to bomb pearl harbor so that capitalists could make more money. the us organised another false flag attack on ny and killed 1 million iraqis so that oil could keep flowing and haliburton could make a few bucks meanwhile. there's no "clean" version of capitalism. wake up!


and for the nth time.. no, obama is not a marxist. if he were, he would not be waging imperialist commodity wars in afghanistan and socialising bank losses. marx would probably be severly frustrated if he knew people called slick imperialist puppets marxists... 



No comments:

Post a Comment